This week’s article was written by CUESA's Volunteer of the Month Janet McGarry.
City dwellers may have enjoyed the sunshine during one of the driest winters on record, but the unseasonable weather has many farmers worried, and with good reason: their livelihoods hang in the balance. Fluctuations in weather do not necessarily indicate changes in climate, but climate change does impact the weather. Fearing the current weather patterns could be the new normal, California farmers are paying close attention to the forecast.
An Uncertain Future
Researchers predict climate change will influence California growing conditions in numerous ways. Rising temperatures are likely to result in less snow and more rain during the winter months, which means the Sierra Nevada snowpack, the state’s primary water storage source, could shrink. As a result, water resources for irrigation will be in shorter supply. Climate change could also lead to more extreme weather events such as droughts, floods, heat waves, and late frosts. Higher temperatures and increased levels of carbon dioxide could mean more pests and diseases for crops and livestock.
Rising temperatures have already begun to impact California’s fruit and nuts, some of the state’s most lucrative crops. These crops require cooler temperatures, known as “chill hours,” in order for fruit to set properly. Warmer weather has decreased the number of chill hours, and climate models predict that this trend will continue. For example, a 2011 study by Stanford researchers predicts that warmer nights could reduce premium grape harvests in Napa by 50% by 2040.
Feeling the Heat
Insufficient chill hours stunt fruit blossoms, so flower pistils do not grow long enough to allow for pollination. “We are getting lighter crops of cherries year after year,” he said. To accommodate the temperature changes, the farm is grafting existing trees with new varieties that require fewer chill hours. “We will adapt, but it will be expensive and take a lot of time. It’s very discouraging.”
Farmer Al described extreme weather events that destroyed his Golden Sweet apricot crop. In 2010 and 2011, warm tropical storms hit California in late winter, creating the perfect conditions for brown rot, a fungal disease. “Before the storm arrived, the orchard was a magnificent, creamy white color of apricot blossoms,” he recalled. “It looked like a great year. After the storm, the blossoms were solid black. Not a single blossom survived. The crop was a complete failure. It was unbelievable.”
Agriculture is not only impacted by climate change but is also one of its largest contributors. The global food system, including production and distribution, accounts for almost a third of GHG emissions.California is the largest producer of agricultural crops in the country and the twelfth largest producer of GHG in the world.
On farms, conservation measures such as renewable energy production, use of energy-efficient equipment, and decreased reliance on fossil-fuel-based pesticides and fertilizers help to reduce GHG emissions. Farmers can cut nitrous oxide emissions by avoiding heavy irrigation after applying fertilizer or by using subsurface irrigation, such as drip lines, rather than surface irrigation. Water conservation measures are doubly beneficial: not only do they sustain farms in times of drought, but they also reduce the energy required to pump water.
According to CalCAN , organic and sustainable farming practices can create healthy farm ecosystems that are resilient to stress while mitigating the impact on climate change. Use of cover crops, manure, and compost increases carbon storage in soils and minimizes the need for petroleum-based fertilizers. Trees, shrubs, and hedgerows on farms also sequester carbon and create habitat for biodiversity.
One way Farmer Al is addressing the climate crisis is by amending his soil with compost made from farm waste. When a soil biologist visited Frog Hollow Farm a couple years ago and saw that one third of the farm’s fruit was wasted because it was blemished and could not be sold, he suggested that Farmer Al start a compost pile. When left to rot, fruit releases methane (a strong GHG) into the atmosphere through anaerobic decomposition, but when converted into nutrient-rich compost that is added to the farm’s soil, it helps store carbon. Pruned orchard branches (which are often burned by farmers) and bedding from a neighboring horse ranch are also added to Frog Hollow’s pile, where their carbon can be put to good use.
In addition to improving soil fertility, Farmer Al believes that the compost is reducing the farm’s carbon footprint. “We’re making amazing, biologically active compost,” he said. “It enlivens and increases the biodiversity of the soil. If you do that, you increase soil’s ability to store carbon, its water-carrying capacity, and its oxygen-carrying capacity. The crops are also healthier, so they can better withstand disease, wind, and drought.”
Al would like to see more collaboration between researchers and farmers to identify climate-friendly agricultural practices that will help farmers adapt to an uncertain future. “Good science establishes the basis for what we’re doing,” he said. “There is good science at test plots at universities, but we really need long-term research on farms also.”
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